Working paper on kin networks of local officials in the late Qing

Shengbin Wei, Xue Qin and Cameron Campbell have a new working paper introducing a dataset based on the Tongguanlu (同官录) that provides information on the kin, qualifications, and careers of local officials in selected locations in the late Qing and Beiyang periods. The Tongguanlu is one of the only sources that we are aware of that provides information on the kin of holders of Jiansheng 监生 and purchased Gongsheng 异途贡生 degrees, and the low-level Shengyuan (生员) degree. Sources used by classic studies like Ho (1962) The Ladder of Success in Late Imperial China only include family background for holders of higher exam degrees like regular Gongsheng, Juren, and Jinshi.

The paper introduces the dataset and presents some results on the kin networks of local officials. The paper shows that holders of purchased degrees and the low-level Shengyuan degree had less privileged family backgrounds than holders of higher degrees. Through regression analysis, it also shows that certain categories of officials had especially privileged backgrounds: seal-holding officials had more advantaged backgrounds than functionaries and educational officials, and officials with regular appointments had more advantaged family backgrounds than expectant officials and officials with acting appointments.

Here is the manuscript at SocArXiv: https://doi.org/10.31235/osf.io/ez3yw_v1

New edited volume Quantitative History of China: State Capacity, Institutions, and Development

Cameron Campbell co-edited a volume with Zhiwu Chen and Debin Ma Quantitative History of China: State Capacity, Institutions, and Development that has just been published by Springer.

It is available open access: https://link.springer.com/book/10.1007/978-981-96-8272-0

From the description:

This volume showcases a collection of new findings concerning China’s political, social, and economic history and typically based on newly constructed large historical datasets. Most of the work has involved an interdisciplinary team of economists, sociologists, political scientists, historians and econometricians, demonstrating how new big data and quantitative methods may be brought to bear on some of the biggest questions related to China’s development over the past three millennia and on the implications of distant past events on contemporary China. Topics covered range from the roles of war, state formation, religion, culture, finance and institutions in long-run development and technological innovations, to regicide history, to the organization and capacity of the bureaucracy. Contributors include leading figures in the quantitative study of China’s long-run socioeconomic and political history.

Cameron Campbell contributed two chapters, both co-authored with students.

Chapter 6, lead-authored by Chen Jun, originally an MA student of Campbell’s at Central China Normal University, now a PhD student at Renmin University, examines the spatial origins and allocation of military officers in the late Qing. Here is the abstract:

We investigate changes over time in the distribution by province of current post and province of origin for Qing military officers from the late eighteenth century to the beginning of the nineteenth century. During this period, the Qing faced a variety of military challenges, including domestic conflicts and foreign incursions. The most important was the Taiping Rebellion (1851–1864), which is already known to have led to large changes in the composition of the Qing military leadership. In turn, senior Hunan-origin military officers leveraged their networks to dominate officer appointments in the coastal provinces. We examine how the Taiping Rebellion, the First Opium War and other crises affected the allocation of officers between provinces, and the recruitment of officers from different provinces. For the analysis, we use the quarterly rosters of military officers Zhongshu beilan, which have been transcribed into a database as part of the China Government Employee Dataset-Qing Jinshenlu (CGED-Q JSL). We show that the allocation of officers by province did not change during the First Opium War, but changed dramatically after the Taiping Rebellion, with a substantial increase in the share of officers allocated to the southeastern coastal provinces, reflecting heightened importance of maritime defense. We also show that there were two phases to the increase in the share of Hunan-origin officers, one at the end of the eighteenth century, and the other, better-known one following the Taiping Rebellion. Finally, we show that exceptions to the rule of avoidance in the appointment of senior military officers became more common for all types of officers from the eighteenth century to the middle of the nineteenth century, and that afterward, low-, mid-, and high-level officers followed different trajectories. We conclude with an assessment of the implications of our findings for our understanding of the Qing in the nineteenth century.

Chapter 7, co-authored by Cameron Campbell with Shuaiqi Gao, a PhD student at Central China Normal University, examines the influence of disasters on the careers of officials. Here is the abstract:

We investigate one dimension of state capacity in the late Qing Dynasty period: enforcement of regulations for the evaluation of officials. For this, we examine how natural disasters and harvest outcomes influenced the careers of county magistrates between 1820 and 1911. County magistrates were responsible for reporting disasters and dealing with their aftermath. Their response was assessed during their performance evaluations. The clearest rules were for locust infestations: as their occurrence was considered prima facie evidence of negligence and was supposed to result in termination. We show that an infestation increased the chances that an official would cease service. Among disasters with more complex origins and where blame was harder to ascribe, including floods, droughts, epidemics, and famine, only famine increased the risk of ending careers. We conclude that the state enforced these personnel regulations before 1880, but not afterward. Effects of infestation and famine did not vary by whether an official had an examination degree or by the rated difficulty of the county. No systematic time trends in effects of famine or infestation were apparent. Our analysis makes use of career histories of officials in the China Government Employee Database-Qing (CGED-Q) Jinshenlu (JSL) dataset, linked to records of disasters and harvests transcribed from a published compilation.

New study of fertility using the CMGPD-LN published by others

We were pleased to learn that Gefei Wang and Xuande Wu published a paper in Asian Population Studies on fertility in Liaoning in the 19th century that makes use of the public CMGPD-LN. This is one of several recent published studies that use the public CMGPD-LN (available at ICPSR) that are by people who are not connected with us. We hope that the CMGPD-LN and CMGPD-SC will be used by others to study family and population and inequality in northeast China during the Qing.

Here is a link to their study: https://doi.org/10.1080/17441730.2025.2565216

Special issue “Inequality, economic stress, and demographic response” in Explorations in Economic History

Cameron Campbell and Tommy Bengtsson edited a special issue on “Inequality, economic stress, and demographic response” for Explorations in Economic History. With the online publication of our introduction the special issue is now complete. The papers apply methods from the original Eurasia Project comparative volumes to population register databases to examine patterns of demographic responses to social and economic context, thereby providing insight into living standards and inequality in the past. Some of the papers are by authors associated with the original Eurasia Project, making use of expanded databases covering sites in 19th century Japan, China, Italy, Belgium, and Sweden and/or investigating new topics. Other papers are by authors making use of newly constructed population register databases in other locations including Scotland, Hungary, Estonia, and South Africa, but investigating the same basic questions. The papers are revised versions of ones presented in sessions at the 2022 World Economic History Congress in Paris, France.

Here is our introduction: https://authors.elsevier.com/a/1laAL3I%7EdWl64

And here is the special issue itself: https://www.sciencedirect.com/special-issue/10PQNHCPFSB

New CGED-Q JSL Training Guide

Chen Jun has created a R Markdown file that provides a tutorial for using R to analyze the CGED-Q, including executable code. The tutorial has been uploaded to the Lee-Campbell Group dataspaces at Harvard and HKUST, along with PDF of the output.

He has also produced updated Powerpoints showing how to use R to analyze the CGED-Q JSL.

Harvard Dataverse

R Markdown File: https://dataverse.harvard.edu/file.xhtml?fileId=11712534

PDF of output from R Markdown file: https://dataverse.harvard.edu/file.xhtml?fileId=11712535

Powerpoints

1&2-初识Rstudio和缙绅录数据库(v2.1.1).pdf

3-逻辑表达式和字符串处理的相关函数(v2.1.1).pdf

4-表格输出(v2.1.1).pdf

5-直方图、散点图和折线图的制作(v2.1.1).pdf

6-数据的整理与匹配(v2.1.1).pdf

7-官员个人编号的创建与运用(v2.1.1).pdf

8-制作GIS图像(v2.1.1).pdf

HKUST Dataspace

R Markdown File: https://dataspace.hkust.edu.hk/file.xhtml?fileId=2707

PDF of output from R Markdown file: https://dataspace.hkust.edu.hk/file.xhtml?fileId=2703

Powerpoints

1 & 2 初识Rstudio和缙绅录数据库(v2.1.1).pdf

3-逻辑表达式和字符串处理的相关函数(v2.1.1).pdf

4-表格输出(v2.1.1).pdf

5-直方图、散点图和折线图的制作(v2.1.1).pdf

6-数据的整理与匹配(v2.1.1).pdf

7-官员个人编号的创建与运用(v2.1.1).pdf

8-制作GIS图像(v2.1.1).pdf

Updated CGED-Q JSL User Guide now available

We have updated the CGED-Q JSL User Guide 中国历史官员量化数据库-缙绅录用户指南 to reflect the 1760-1798 data that we released last year. Chen Jun and Bijia Chen were mostly responsible for this update, though we had feedback from others. We have included new data on the variables, new information about the sources, and various other edits. The new version is available for download at the Harvard Dataverse and the HKUST Dataspace:

Harvard Dataverse

https://dataverse.harvard.edu/file.xhtml;jsessionid=decdf0d5f164007a167a94fd0309?fileId=11704482&version=7.0

HKUST Dataspace

https://dataspace.hkust.edu.hk/file.xhtml?fileId=2702&version=19.0

New article in Explorations in Economic History

James Lee and Cameron Campbell just published “Socioeconomic differences in population growth in 19th century Liaoning, China: a decomposition” in Explorations in Economic History that divides population growth in Liaoning in the 19th century into the shares contributed by different time periods and different socioeconomic groups.

This paper ties together several decades of work by Cameron Campbell, James Lee, and others on differentials in demographic outcomes like mortality, fertility and marriage. They have published numerous papers looking at how economic conditions, community context, and household and individual socioeconomic and other characteristics affected these demographic outcomes. These papers used patterns of differentials to map differences in access to the resources required to marry, have children, and avoid death.

The new paper examines how these patterns of differentials combined to determine the contributions that different groups and different time periods made to population growth. The paper compares the contributions made by households, lineages and communities of different sizes, as well as households with different numbers of members. Time periods are defined by grain prices. Like earlier articles, the paper makes use of data from the CMGPD-LN.

The paper is available open access here: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eeh.2025.101678

CGED-Q JSL 1760-1798 Draft Release

We have made available a draft release of the China Government Employee Dataset-Qing (CGED-Q) Jinshenlu (JSL) 1760-1798 data at the HKUST Dataspace:

https://dataspace.hkust.edu.hk/dataset.xhtml?persistentId=doi:10.14711/dataset/E9GKRS

We expect to release a final version later in the year reflected corrections to any problems identified by users.

We are grateful to Xue Qing and Bijia Chen who spotted issues with the data before it was released.

Hao Dong publishes a new Chinese article in 社会学研究 on the effect of China’s cooling-off period policy on trends in divorce registration

Hao Dong has just published a single-authored paper in the top Chinese-language sociology journal 社会学研究 (Sociological Studies) titled 此情或可待:“离婚冷静期”规定对离婚登记数量趋势的影响 (A Wait Perhaps Worthwhile:The Influence of a “Cooling-off” Period on Trends in Divorce Registration)

Here is the Chinese abstract and English translation:

本文关注“离婚冷静期”规定对离婚登记数量趋势的影响,间接探讨了冲动等不可观测主观因素在我国离婚决策中的角色。基于民政部2018—2021年省—季度统计数据,辅以国家统计局、裁判文书网、百度指数等数据,本研究通过事件研究和双重差分等政策评估方法交叉验证发现,“冷静期”使得各省各季度离婚登记数量平均减少1.03~1.32万对,较前三年降低了33%~42%。在以往复婚较普遍、青年离婚占比较大、对“冷静期”等离婚相关信息搜索较多的地区降幅更大,揭示了部分潜在作用机制。

This study examines the influence of a 30-day “cooling-off” period policy on trends in divorce registration,shedding light on the intervention on certain unmeasurable subjective factors-including impulsiveness-in divorce decisionmaking in China. The analysis employs province-quarter-level data of divorce registration from the Ministry of Civil Affairs in 2018-2021 and further incorporates data from the National Bureau of Statistics,China Judgements Online,and the Baidu Index. Based on the policy evaluation methods,such as the event-study and difference-in-differences,evidence consistently suggests a substantial influence of the policy,which reduces 10.3-13.2 thousand divorces per province per quarter on average,amounting to a decline of 33-42% compared to the previous three years. Moreover,the influence appears to be greater in provinces with more previously divorced couples restoring their marriages,more divorces between young couples,or more internet searches about the policy and divorce-related information,highlighting some potential mechanisms underlying the intervention.

Congratulations Hao Dong!

Post navigation